2026
ELECTIONS Predictions Cup & Midterms

Site Map & Navigation Flow

Complete directory of all analytics boards, spatial maps, verification models, and trade execution interfaces. Use this master guide to navigate the system without friction.

02

Spatial & Strategy

Geographic factor distributions, campaign money flows, and statistical anomaly detection.

03

Theses & Social

Rigorous holdout checks against past elections and news/social sentiment surveillance.

Operator Execution Workflow

The complete 6-stage lifecycle of finding, verifying, and executing an underdog trade:

Step 1 Scan Underdogs Open Board (/) with the 30–45% band ringed. Identify markets where the Cup price sits below real-money fair value.
Step 2 Spatial Check Open Map (/map) in Against current odds mode to see if economic or census fundamentals disagree with the price.
Step 3 Verify Swings & Money Open Strategy (/strategy) to check 2016–2024 presidential swing direction and FEC outside-money notices.
Step 4 Check Vetoes & Dirt Check Theses (/models) and Social (/slime) to confirm the candidate is not vetoed by demographics or tagged with toxic dirt.
Step 5 Build Book Run python book.py in the terminal to produce the deterministic order sheet at data/book/orders.csv.
Step 6 Stage & Arm Trader Open the Desk (/trader), click Proposals > Import, review limit prices, enable lines, and click Arm.

Ready to execute orders?

The Cup Trader runs on a dedicated port to enforce process isolation and execution safety rules.

Open the Desk ↗